Massey Ratings

Pro Soccer League


Key & Description | Predictions | Conferences | Summary | 2003 | 2005
| group0 |

Using games from Saturday, April 10, 2004 to Saturday, September 4, 2004

group0

    Homefield Advantage:     0.44 Goals
    Standard Deviation:      1.74 Goals
Ch Team W L T Rating Power Offense Defense HA Schedule
Fresno Fuego 5002.193( 1)4.54( 1)4.46( 1)1.65( 3)0.45(18)1.79(10)psl2004
Orange County Blue Star 5011.539( 2)3.00( 2)3.06( 3)1.51( 4)0.42(26)1.58(12)psl2004
Southern California Seahorses 5211.340( 3)2.86( 3)3.51( 2)0.93(12)0.33(35)2.00( 6)psl2004
Utah Blitzz 14631.331( 4)2.73( 5)2.61( 5)1.69( 2)0.52( 4)1.83( 7)psl2004
Boulder Rapid Reserve 1101.297( 5)2.76( 4)1.65(20)2.67( 1)0.50( 8)2.73( 2)psl2004
San Diego Gauchos 8921.013( 6)2.05( 6)2.36( 7)1.27( 6)0.35(33)2.41( 4)psl2004
Pittsburgh Riverhounds 19310.925( 7)1.52( 7)2.16(13)0.94(11)0.38(31)-0.04(25)psl2004
Colorado Springs 0110.527( 8)1.09( 9)2.23(11)0.43(15)0.35(34)2.70( 3)psl2004
-1 Charlotte Eagles 15530.510( 9)1.00(11)2.34( 8)0.23(17)0.62( 1)0.00(24)psl2004
Nevada Wonders 1300.484(10)1.22( 8)2.83( 4)-0.04(22)0.49(11)1.68(11)psl2004
Albany Blackwatch 1010.457(11)0.96(12)1.38(25)1.15(10)0.48(12)-0.06(26)psl2004
California Gold 21250.423(12)1.01(10)1.70(19)0.89(13)0.60( 2)2.29( 5)psl2004
BYU Cougars 1510.312(13)0.79(13)2.28(10)0.08(19)0.50( 7)1.81( 9)psl2004
South Jersey Barons 1010.255(14)0.48(14)2.19(12)-0.13(24)0.42(25)-0.62(35)psl2004
Wilmington Hammerheads 10740.178(15)0.41(15)1.40(24)0.58(14)0.45(17)0.03(23)psl2004
-1 Yakima Reds 0100.158(16)0.36(16)0.72(30)1.21( 8)0.44(21)3.10( 1)psl2004
Harrisburg City Islanders 10930.146(17)0.34(17)1.61(21)0.30(16)0.47(13)0.19(20)psl2004
Cape Cod Crusaders 1100.137(18)0.31(18)1.83(15)0.04(20)0.49( 9)0.14(21)psl2004
Williamsburg Legacy 2100.116(19)0.23(19)2.43( 6)-0.63(28)0.40(29)-0.56(34)psl2004
Rhode Island Stingrays 1100.107(20)0.23(20)2.34( 9)-0.54(27)0.52( 3)0.14(22)psl2004
Reading Rage 110-0.014(21)-0.11(23)1.59(22)-0.13(23)0.51( 6)0.33(18)psl2004
New Hampshire Phantoms 10101-0.023(22)0.17(21)1.71(17)0.03(21)0.52( 5)-0.07(27)psl2004
Westchester Flames 883-0.042(23)-0.12(24)1.90(14)-0.45(26)0.45(16)-0.08(28)psl2004
Western Mass Pioneers 8102-0.091(24)-0.10(22)1.32(27)0.15(18)0.11(37)-0.08(29)psl2004
Long Island Rough Riders 8111-0.248(25)-0.62(25)1.37(26)-0.42(25)0.43(23)-0.34(31)psl2004
Raleigh CASL Elite 011-0.301(26)-0.65(26)-0.58(37)1.49( 5)0.47(14)0.68(15)psl2004
Richmond Kickers Future 011-0.343(27)-0.75(27)-0.36(34)1.18( 9)0.49(10)0.66(17)psl2004
Brooklyn Knights 010-0.421(28)-0.81(28)1.71(18)-0.94(30)0.44(20)0.21(19)psl2004
West Virginia Chaos 020-0.437(29)-0.82(29)-0.48(35)1.23( 7)0.41(28)1.31(14)psl2004
Cleveland Internationals 020-0.474(30)-0.93(30)1.51(23)-0.87(29)0.47(15)1.49(13)psl2004
Carolina Dynamo 020-0.559(31)-1.04(31)1.80(16)-1.27(31)0.41(27)0.66(16)psl2004
Northern Virginia Royals 4150-0.990(32)-2.14(32)0.74(29)-1.32(32)0.22(36)-0.40(33)psl2004
New Jersey Stallions 020-1.229(33)-2.53(33)0.51(31)-1.47(33)0.40(30)-0.38(32)psl2004
Western Michigan 010-1.738(34)-3.71(34)0.07(32)-2.22(36)0.44(19)1.82( 8)psl2004
Chesapeake Dragons 030-1.903(35)-3.85(35)-0.32(33)-1.96(34)0.37(32)-2.09(37)psl2004
Jersey Falcons 020-2.011(36)-4.26(36)-0.48(36)-2.21(35)0.42(24)-0.68(36)psl2004
Vermont Voltage 020-2.623(37)-5.60(37)1.03(28)-5.05(37)0.43(22)-0.09(30)psl2004

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99692
Off/Rate:    0.76766
Def/Rate:    0.75936
Sched/Rate:  0.53224



Least Likely Results

 1  5/29 Northern Virginia Royals (33)        3 at Long Island Rough Riders (26)        2  0.216
 2   7/7 San Diego Gauchos ( 6)               3 at Southern California Seahorses ( 3)   2  0.359
 3  5/15 San Diego Gauchos ( 6)               2 at Utah Blitzz ( 4)                     1  0.361
 4  8/14 Long Island Rough Riders (26)        2 at Western Mass Pioneers (25)           0  0.368
 5  7/21 Western Mass Pioneers (25)           3 at New Hampshire Phantoms (23)          0  0.390
 6  7/16 Westchester Flames (24)              2 at Wilmington Hammerheads (16)          1  0.391
 7   5/8 Harrisburg City Islanders (18)       1    Pittsburgh Riverhounds ( 7)          0  0.424
 8  7/25 Western Mass Pioneers (25)           1 at Harrisburg City Islanders (18)       0  0.430
 9   7/3 Long Island Rough Riders (26)        3 at Western Mass Pioneers (25)           2  0.447
10  5/22 Wilmington Hammerheads (16)          3 at Harrisburg City Islanders (18)       1  0.480

Retro Prediction Percentage: 81.56


Games: 159 Average Score: 2.64 0.79 Home Team: 91-50 64.539 Higher Win Percentage: 84-44 65.625 Larger Margin of Victory: 86-50 63.235 Max Margin: 1 8/7 Charlotte Eagles ( 9) 6 Long Island Rough Riders (26) 0 2 7/14 New Hampshire Phantoms (23) 7 at Vermont Voltage (38) 1 3 7/7 Western Mass Pioneers (25) 6 Vermont Voltage (38) 1 Max Total: 1 7/14 New Hampshire Phantoms (23) 7 at Vermont Voltage (38) 1 2 7/10 Pittsburgh Riverhounds ( 7) 6 at Westchester Flames (24) 2 3 7/18 Williamsburg Legacy (20) 5 at Northern Virginia Royals (33) 2 Min Total: 1 7/7 Wilmington Hammerheads (16) 0 at Raleigh CASL Elite (27) 0 2 6/5 Charlotte Eagles ( 9) 0 at Richmond Kickers Future (28) 0 3 4/17 Utah Blitzz ( 4) 0 at California Gold (13) 0

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Kenneth Massey, Wed Oct 12 05:23:28 2005