Massey Ratings

Northeast League


Key & Description | Predictions | Conferences | Summary | Data | 2003 | 2005
| group0 |

Through games of Monday, September 20, 2004

group0

    Homefield Advantage:     0.29 Runs
    Standard Deviation:      4.54 Runs
Ch Team W L Rating Power Offense Defense HA PF Schedule
Quebec Les Capitales 61371.142(1)0.89(2)5.24(3)0.45(2)1.47(1)0.43-0.10(7)Nor
Bangor Lumberjacks 58380.945(2)0.80(4)4.98(4)0.62(1)0.70(3)-1.18-0.05(6)Nor
New Jersey Jackals 61420.881(3)1.05(1)5.56(1)0.29(3)-0.02(5)-0.53-0.11(8)Sou
North Shore Spirit 63400.858(4)0.88(3)5.48(2)0.19(4)-0.11(6)0.66-0.05(5)Nor
Brockton Rox 4548-0.312(5)-0.21(5)4.89(5)-0.31(7)-0.67(8)0.560.02(4)Nor
New Haven County Cutters 3756-0.950(6)-0.96(6)4.10(7)-0.27(6)-0.24(7)-0.470.13(2)Sou
Elmira Pioneers 3460-1.238(7)-1.25(8)4.31(6)-0.76(8)0.86(2)0.520.06(3)Sou
Aces 2866-1.326(8)-1.20(7)3.82(8)-0.22(5)0.32(4)0.000.36(1)Sou

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.85714
Off/Rate:    0.78571
Def/Rate:    0.80952
Sched/Rate: -0.90476


Conference Tms W L Rating Power Off Def HA Parity 1
Northern Division 4 141 77 0.658 0.59 5.15 0.24 0.35 0.9049 2 Southern Division 4 77 141 -0.658 -0.59 4.45 -0.24 0.23 0.8102

Least Likely Results

 1  7/10 Aces (9)                       18 at New Jersey Jackals (4)          4  0.302
 2  6/28 Aces (9)                        8 at Bangor Lumberjacks (2)          2  0.329
 3  6/19 New Haven County Cutters (7)   14 at Bangor Lumberjacks (2)          0  0.332
 4  6/15 New Haven County Cutters (7)    7    New Jersey Jackals (4)          1  0.355
 5  8/25 New Haven County Cutters (7)    8    New Jersey Jackals (4)          2  0.359
 6   6/1 Elmira Pioneers (8)            11    North Shore Spirit (5)          2  0.366
 7  7/22 Aces (9)                        4 at New Jersey Jackals (4)          1  0.383
 8  6/30 New Haven County Cutters (7)    5 at Quebec Les Capitales (1)        2  0.384
 9  7/16 Brockton Rox (6)                7    New Jersey Jackals (4)          0  0.385
10   6/9 Elmira Pioneers (8)             8 at Bangor Lumberjacks (2)          6  0.388

Retro Prediction Percentage: 66.41

Upset Path:

 9 Aces                       8  2 Bangor Lumberjacks         2
 2 Bangor Lumberjacks         5  1 Quebec Les Capitales       1


Games: 387 Average Score: 6.72 2.99 Home Team: 237-150 61.240 Higher Win Percentage: 219-158 58.090 Larger Margin of Victory: 221-161 57.853 Max Margin: 1 8/29 Bangor Lumberjacks (2) 22 at New Jersey Jackals (4) 2 2 6/15 Quebec Les Capitales (1) 17 Bangor Lumberjacks (2) 1 3 8/28 Quebec Les Capitales (1) 18 at North Shore Spirit (5) 3 Max Total: 1 6/27 Quebec Les Capitales (1) 15 Aces (9) 13 2 8/29 Bangor Lumberjacks (2) 22 at New Jersey Jackals (4) 2 3 8/13 North Shore Spirit (5) 15 New Haven County Cutters (7) 9 Min Total: 1 9/4 Aces (9) 1 at New Jersey Jackals (4) 0 2 8/22 Elmira Pioneers (8) 1 at Brockton Rox (6) 0 3 8/22 Bangor Lumberjacks (2) 1 Aces (9) 0

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Kenneth Massey, Fri Jun 24 11:16:43 2005