Massey Ratings

High School Football


Key & Description | Predictions | Conferences | CSV | 2006 | 2008
| HSF |

Using games from Friday, August 24, 2007 to Saturday, December 8, 2007

11-Man Group

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99759
Off/Rate:    0.95601
Def/Rate:    0.94561
Sched/Rate:  0.79511


Least Likely Results


 1   9/7 Cocke Co (258)             20    Volunteer (126)            19  0.099
 2  9/17 Pickett Co (326)           20 vs Livingston Acad (302)      14  0.131
 3   9/7 Lebanon ( 41)              31 at Smyrna (  4)               28  0.148
 4   9/7 Fayette-Ware (169)         26 at Bolivar Cent (110)          0  0.196
 5   9/7 Daniel Boone (150)         14    Greenville ( 69)            0  0.230
 6  9/21 McMinn Co ( 42)            24    Farragut (  7)             21  0.241
 7  9/21 Kingsbury ( 81)            13 at Melrose ( 44)              12  0.265
 8  8/24 Howard (117)               42 at Brainerd ( 75)             32  0.282
 9  8/31 Huntingdon (139)           20    Milan ( 66)                13  0.298
10  9/14 Fairley ( 74)              12 at Mitchell ( 38)              6  0.299

Retro Prediction Percentage: 89.72


Games: 1761 Average Score: 32.81 11.22 Home Team: 954-800 54.390 Home Score: 23.44 20.56 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 8/24 Munford ( 90) 74 Memphis Northside (301) 0 2 10/19 McKenzie ( 98) 68 at West Carroll (309) 0 3 9/28 Cloudland (265) 67 North Greene (332) 0 Max Total: 1 10/26 Midway (167) 67 at Greenback (298) 38 2 10/5 Lake Co (276) 63 at West Carroll (309) 39 3 9/21 Knoxville Halls ( 45) 52 Knoxville West ( 26) 49 Min Total: 1 10/12 Mt Juliet ( 37) 3 Kenwood ( 67) 0 2 9/28 South Greene (259) 3 at David Crockett (229) 0 3 9/28 Riverside (291) 6 at Loretto (307) 0

Div I

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99746
Off/Rate:    0.95567
Def/Rate:    0.94177
Sched/Rate:  0.78163


Least Likely Results


 1   9/7 Cocke Co (258)             20    Volunteer (126)            19  0.099
 2  9/17 Pickett Co (326)           20 vs Livingston Acad (302)      14  0.131
 3   9/7 Lebanon ( 41)              31 at Smyrna (  4)               28  0.148
 4   9/7 Fayette-Ware (169)         26 at Bolivar Cent (110)          0  0.196
 5   9/7 Daniel Boone (150)         14    Greenville ( 69)            0  0.230
 6  9/21 McMinn Co ( 42)            24    Farragut (  7)             21  0.241
 7  9/21 Kingsbury ( 81)            13 at Melrose ( 44)              12  0.265
 8  8/24 Howard (117)               42 at Brainerd ( 75)             32  0.282
 9  8/31 Huntingdon (139)           20    Milan ( 66)                13  0.298
10  9/14 Fairley ( 74)              12 at Mitchell ( 38)              6  0.299

Retro Prediction Percentage: 89.30


Games: 1581 Average Score: 32.66 11.22 Home Team: 852-722 54.130 Home Score: 23.26 20.59 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 8/24 Munford ( 90) 74 Memphis Northside (301) 0 2 10/19 McKenzie ( 98) 68 at West Carroll (309) 0 3 9/28 Cloudland (265) 67 North Greene (332) 0 Max Total: 1 10/26 Midway (167) 67 at Greenback (298) 38 2 10/5 Lake Co (276) 63 at West Carroll (309) 39 3 9/21 Knoxville Halls ( 45) 52 Knoxville West ( 26) 49 Min Total: 1 10/12 Mt Juliet ( 37) 3 Kenwood ( 67) 0 2 9/28 South Greene (259) 3 at David Crockett (229) 0 3 9/28 Riverside (291) 6 at Loretto (307) 0

1A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99630
Off/Rate:    0.93640
Def/Rate:    0.93404
Sched/Rate:  0.84442


Least Likely Results


 1 10/12 Moore Co (187)             38 at Mt Pleasant (120)          34  0.307
 2 10/19 Heritage-WH (170)          34 at Byrns (112)                27  0.317
 3  9/21 Lake Co (276)              21 at Gleason (234)              18  0.353
 4   9/7 Forrest (207)              12 at Heritage-WH (170)           7  0.363
 5  10/5 Cosby (300)                21    Unaka (272)                20  0.368
 6  11/2 Temple (327)               20    Brainerd Chr (315)         16  0.394
 7  10/5 Monterey (208)             14    Friendship Chr (157)       10  0.401
 8 11/23 Mt Pleasant (120)          31 at Byrns (112)                21  0.459
 9 10/19 Gleason (234)              32    Bruceton Cent (210)        22  0.463
10   9/7 Greenfield (260)           30    Gleason (234)               8  0.472

Retro Prediction Percentage: 92.13


Games: 267 Average Score: 36.16 11.73 Home Team: 148-118 55.639 Home Score: 26.08 21.73 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 10/19 McKenzie ( 98) 68 at West Carroll (309) 0 2 10/12 Friendship Chr (157) 65 Red Boiling Spr (335) 0 3 10/26 S Pittsburg ( 33) 69 Temple (327) 6 Max Total: 1 10/26 Midway (167) 67 at Greenback (298) 38 2 10/5 Lake Co (276) 63 at West Carroll (309) 39 3 11/2 S Pittsburg ( 33) 72 Grace Bap (245) 19 Min Total: 1 10/19 Monterey (208) 7 Clay Co (256) 0 2 9/7 Watertown (171) 7 Trousdale Co (159) 0 3 9/14 Forrest (207) 14 at Eagleville (283) 0

2A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99809
Off/Rate:    0.95927
Def/Rate:    0.94082
Sched/Rate:  0.73737


Least Likely Results


 1  8/31 Huntingdon (139)           20    Milan ( 66)                13  0.298
 2  11/9 Peabody ( 80)              24 at Westview ( 61)             22  0.405
 3  9/14 Upperman (246)             26 at Bledsoe Co (244)            0  0.471
 4 10/19 Bledsoe Co (244)           22 at Marion Co (220)            21  0.486
 5  11/2 Milan ( 66)                30 at Westview ( 61)             24  0.494
 6 10/19 Donelson Chr Acad ( 54)    35    Goodpasture ( 31)          28  0.496
 7 11/23 Peabody ( 80)              40 at Milan ( 66)                35  0.507
 8 11/16 Hickman Co ( 89)           21 at Lewis Co ( 85)             14  0.510
 9 10/19 Franklin Road (290)        16 at Ezell-Harding (287)        13  0.516
10 10/19 Happy Val (257)            19 at South Greene (259)          7  0.560

Retro Prediction Percentage: 94.20


Games: 224 Average Score: 33.44 10.92 Home Team: 121-102 54.260 Home Score: 23.74 20.65 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 10/5 Christ Presbyterian ( 78) 61 Ezell-Harding (287) 0 2 10/5 Gatlinburg-Pittman (118) 64 at North Greene (332) 6 3 11/2 South Greene (259) 57 North Greene (332) 0 Max Total: 1 11/23 Alcoa ( 8) 59 Gatlinburg-Pittman (118) 36 2 11/9 Goodpasture ( 31) 47 Christ Presbyterian ( 78) 41 3 11/16 Alcoa ( 8) 56 CAK ( 51) 21 Min Total: 1 9/28 Riverside (291) 6 at Loretto (307) 0 2 11/9 Camden ( 99) 14 Fairview (221) 0 3 9/21 Milan ( 66) 14 at Humboldt (156) 0

3A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99440
Off/Rate:    0.94863
Def/Rate:    0.93645
Sched/Rate:  0.72783


Least Likely Results


 1   9/7 Fayette-Ware (169)         26 at Bolivar Cent (110)          0  0.196
 2  9/14 McNairy Cent (123)         38    Dyer Co ( 79)               7  0.302
 3 10/26 Macon Co (217)             24    Greenbrier (137)           21  0.303
 4  10/5 Hillcrest (241)            31    Trezevant (186)             8  0.367
 5 11/16 Austin East ( 40)          26 at Knoxville Cath ( 19)       25  0.382
 6 10/26 Pigeon Forge (271)         20    Gibbs (236)                 6  0.390
 7  11/2 Giles Co (129)             29 at Marshall Co (115)           8  0.404
 8  10/5 Dyer Co ( 79)              14 at Haywood Co ( 63)            9  0.406
 9 10/26 Livingston Acad (302)      24    Stone Memorial (285)       21  0.409
10  10/5 Fayette-Ware (169)         34    Jackson South Side (125)   32  0.459

Retro Prediction Percentage: 90.09


Games: 232 Average Score: 32.70 10.13 Home Team: 121-110 52.381 Home Score: 22.99 19.78 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 10/5 Giles Co (129) 63 at Montgomery Cent (312) 0 2 10/26 Haywood Co ( 63) 68 Obion Co (303) 7 3 10/5 Crockett Co (161) 55 Obion Co (303) 0 Max Total: 1 11/9 Anderson Co ( 62) 54 at Carter (108) 33 2 9/7 Giles Co (129) 66 Cheatham Co (214) 20 3 10/26 McMinn Cent (135) 42 at Polk Co (176) 41 Min Total: 1 10/26 Sycamore (155) 9 at DeKalb Co (219) 0 2 9/7 Covington (175) 7 Crockett Co (161) 6 3 11/2 Austin East ( 40) 9 at Kingston ( 93) 7

4A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99474
Off/Rate:    0.92431
Def/Rate:    0.88428
Sched/Rate:  0.67493


Least Likely Results


 1   9/7 Cocke Co (258)             20    Volunteer (126)            19  0.099
 2   9/7 Daniel Boone (150)         14    Greenville ( 69)            0  0.230
 3  9/21 Kingsbury ( 81)            13 at Melrose ( 44)              12  0.265
 4  10/5 Raleigh-Egypt (227)        26 at Memphis East (188)         18  0.315
 5  10/5 Brighton (152)             34    Munford ( 90)              33  0.330
 6  11/9 Volunteer (126)            21 at TN High ( 86)              14  0.370
 7  9/21 Beech ( 68)                21 at Clarksville ( 46)           7  0.388
 8  9/14 Greenville ( 69)           24    Sullivan South ( 32)       21  0.392
 9 10/12 Hixson (252)               42    Walker Val (218)           31  0.415
10  8/31 Sullivan East (145)        28 at Volunteer (126)            21  0.420

Retro Prediction Percentage: 87.23


Games: 235 Average Score: 33.28 12.12 Home Team: 129-105 55.128 Home Score: 23.87 21.55 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 8/24 Munford ( 90) 74 Memphis Northside (301) 0 2 9/21 Memphis East (188) 63 Memphis Northside (301) 0 3 9/7 Kingsbury ( 81) 60 Memphis Northside (301) 0 Max Total: 1 9/21 Knoxville Halls ( 45) 52 Knoxville West ( 26) 49 2 9/21 Rossview (177) 47 at Springfield (237) 41 3 11/9 Henry Co ( 34) 70 Raleigh-Egypt (227) 14 Min Total: 1 10/12 Mt Juliet ( 37) 3 Kenwood ( 67) 0 2 9/7 Walker Val (218) 8 at White Co (288) 0 3 10/5 Morristown West ( 94) 10 Morristown East (138) 0

5A

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99023
Off/Rate:    0.92511
Def/Rate:    0.90159
Sched/Rate:  0.78117


Least Likely Results


 1   9/7 Lebanon ( 41)              31 at Smyrna (  4)               28  0.148
 2  9/21 McMinn Co ( 42)            24    Farragut (  7)             21  0.241
 3 10/26 Karns (154)                26 at Science Hill (113)         13  0.300
 4  9/21 Lebanon ( 41)              21 at LaVergne ( 27)             20  0.356
 5   9/7 Bartlett (127)             10    Bolton ( 83)                3  0.392
 6   9/7 Ravenwood ( 58)            10 at Franklin ( 29)              7  0.431
 7  10/5 Nashville Overton (101)    16    Hunters Lane ( 50)         14  0.449
 8  11/2 Dickson Co ( 60)           28 at Ravenwood ( 58)            14  0.449
 9 11/16 Wilson Cent (  9)          35 at Riverdale (  5)            13  0.457
10  10/5 Brentwood ( 57)            27    Franklin ( 29)             24  0.478

Retro Prediction Percentage: 85.25


Games: 278 Average Score: 30.75 11.12 Home Team: 148-129 53.430 Home Score: 21.69 20.10 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 9/7 Lincoln Co ( 47) 56 Cumberland Co (317) 0 2 9/14 Collierville ( 72) 56 Memphis Overton (294) 6 3 10/5 Ooltewah ( 30) 49 Bradley Cent (185) 0 Max Total: 1 10/19 Farragut ( 7) 44 Ooltewah ( 30) 41 2 10/5 Coffee Co ( 76) 44 at Franklin Co (147) 37 3 9/7 Oak Ridge ( 18) 53 Bradley Cent (185) 26 Min Total: 1 10/12 Collierville ( 72) 7 Wooddale (128) 6 2 9/21 Smyrna ( 4) 13 at Blackman ( 43) 0 3 9/21 Brentwood ( 57) 7 at Ravenwood ( 58) 6

Div II

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.99565
Off/Rate:    0.93304
Def/Rate:    0.92435
Sched/Rate:  0.84783


Least Likely Results


 1  10/5 Davidson Acad (180)        25 at Harding Acad (148)         22  0.478
 2  11/9 First Assembly (172)       10 at Harding Acad (148)          7  0.494
 3   9/7 Bp Byrne (213)             29    First Assembly (172)       26  0.504
 4  9/21 Ensworth ( 20)             57 at Webb ( 28)                 21  0.517
 5  8/31 St Benedict (206)          14 at Bp Byrne (213)              6  0.632
 6  9/21 Chr Brothers ( 39)         14 at Memphis Univ Sch ( 48)      7  0.651
 7  9/28 Ensworth ( 20)             35    McCallie ( 35)             14  0.652
 8 10/26 Webb ( 28)                 30 at Battle Ground Acad ( 55)    0  0.654
 9 10/19 Father Ryan ( 12)          31 at Ensworth ( 20)             14  0.654
10 10/19 Harding Acad (148)         37 at First Assembly (172)       21  0.671

Retro Prediction Percentage: 94.12


Games: 85 Average Score: 34.15 11.74 Home Team: 43-42 50.588 Home Score: 23.54 22.35 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 10/5 Chr Brothers ( 39) 63 Briarcrest (144) 3 2 9/21 SBEC ( 96) 56 at Tipton-Rosemark (324) 6 3 11/2 Memphis Univ Sch ( 48) 49 at St Benedict (206) 0 Max Total: 1 9/7 SBEC ( 96) 48 Harding Acad (148) 44 2 11/2 St George's ( 36) 55 at Bp Byrne (213) 32 3 9/21 First Assembly (172) 53 at Rossville Chr (262) 28 Min Total: 1 11/24 Montgomery Bell ( 1) 12 Brentwood Acad ( 3) 0 2 10/5 Montgomery Bell ( 1) 14 Ensworth ( 20) 0 3 11/9 First Assembly (172) 10 at Harding Acad (148) 7

Others

    Homefield Advantage:     1.20 Points
    Standard Deviation:     13.72 Points

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  1.00000
Off/Rate:    1.00000
Def/Rate:    1.00000
Sched/Rate:  0.50000


Least Likely Results


 1  9/21 Lancaster Chr (331)        40    Riverside Chr (334)        14  0.811

Retro Prediction Percentage: 100.00


Games: 1 Average Score: 40.00 14.00 Home Team: 1-0 100.000 Home Score: 40.00 14.00 Higher Win Percentage: 47793-16865 73.917 Larger Margin of Victory: 56125-20168 73.565 Max Margin: 1 9/21 Lancaster Chr (331) 40 Riverside Chr (334) 14 Max Total: 1 9/21 Lancaster Chr (331) 40 Riverside Chr (334) 14 Min Total: 1 9/21 Lancaster Chr (331) 40 Riverside Chr (334) 14

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Contact, Tue May 27 12:01:33 2008