Massey Ratings

College Soccer Women


Key & Description | Predictions | Conferences | CSV | 2008 | 2010

Using games from Friday, August 21, 2009 to Sunday, December 6, 2009

NCAA I

    Homefield Advantage:     0.35 Goals
    Standard Deviation:      1.85 Goals


Least Likely Results


 1  9/12 Prairie View (304)        1 at North Texas (168)         0  0.027
 2  9/13 FL Atlantic (250)         2    Cal Poly SLO ( 40)        0  0.054
 3 10/25 Miami FL ( 55)            1    North Carolina (  2)      0  0.107
 4  10/2 CS Sacramento (107)       1 at California ( 28)          0  0.147
 5  9/18 St Louis (150)            2 at Memphis ( 44)             0  0.149
 6  8/21 Portland St ( 90)         1 at Oregon St ( 17)           0  0.153
 7  9/14 Delaware St (308)         1    VMI (268)                 0  0.159
 8  9/11 Drexel (235)              1    Pittsburgh ( 56)          0  0.160
 9   9/6 Utah Val St (218)         1 at UTEP ( 84)                0  0.160
10  8/22 Richmond (198)            3 at James Madison ( 91)       0  0.163

Retro Prediction Percentage: 81.10


Games: 3058 Average Score: 2.28 0.48 Home Team: 1473-928 61.349 Home Score: 1.67 1.09 Higher Win Percentage: 6195-2690 69.724 Larger Margin of Victory: 6650-2875 69.816 Max Margin: 1 9/18 S Carolina St (288) 17 at Alabama St (315) 1 2 9/6 McNeese St (280) 15 Alcorn St (314) 0 3 9/6 Troy (259) 15 Alabama St (315) 0 Max Total: 1 9/18 S Carolina St (288) 17 at Alabama St (315) 1 2 9/6 McNeese St (280) 15 Alcorn St (314) 0 3 9/6 Troy (259) 15 Alabama St (315) 0 Min Total: 1 11/13 Virginia ( 13) 0 vs St John's ( 32) 0 2 11/13 Marquette ( 23) 0 vs Dayton ( 34) 0 3 11/13 USC ( 11) 0 vs Oklahoma St ( 29) 0

NCAA II

    Homefield Advantage:     0.35 Goals
    Standard Deviation:      1.85 Goals


Least Likely Results


 1  9/19 Concordia NY (313)        3 at Georgian Court (307)      1  0.027
 2 10/17 Molloy (309)              3    Bridgeport (250)          2  0.109
 3 10/23 Newman (281)              1 at St Edward's (169)         0  0.126
 4  9/17 Emporia St (307)          1 at MO Western (276)          0  0.132
 5  8/29 Grand Canyon (287)        3    CS Dom. Hills (134)       2  0.138
 6  11/3 Montevallo (287)          1 at Columbus St (211)         0  0.141
 7   9/4 MN Mankato (250)          2 at Metro St (104)            1  0.150
 8 10/20 Lincoln Mem (301)         3 at Carson-Newman (205)       2  0.152
 9   9/6 West Georgia (307)        1 at Newberry (283)            0  0.161
10  9/25 Palm Beach Atl (301)      3    FL Southern (225)         1  0.163

Retro Prediction Percentage: 86.08


Games: 1873 Average Score: 2.72 0.55 Home Team: 940-664 58.603 Home Score: 1.92 1.36 Higher Win Percentage: 6195-2690 69.724 Larger Margin of Victory: 6650-2875 69.816 Max Margin: 1 10/27 Charleston WV (313) 14 Salem WV (316) 0 2 10/8 Concord (307) 14 Salem WV (316) 0 3 10/16 Wheeling Jesuit (307) 13 at Salem WV (316) 0 Max Total: 1 10/27 Charleston WV (313) 14 Salem WV (316) 0 2 10/8 Concord (307) 14 Salem WV (316) 0 3 10/16 Wheeling Jesuit (307) 13 at Salem WV (316) 0 Min Total: 1 11/20 Colorado Mines (153) 0 at Metro St (104) 0 2 11/20 N Kentucky (141) 0 vs Grand Valley St ( 80) 0 3 11/20 W Texas A&M (178) 0 vs St Edward's (169) 0

NCAA III

    Homefield Advantage:     0.35 Goals
    Standard Deviation:      1.85 Goals


Least Likely Results


 1  10/3 Ripon (314)               1 at St Norbert (310)          0  0.052
 2  10/3 Rutgers-Newark (313)      2    R Stockton (297)          1  0.069
 3  9/30 Alverno (315)             1 at Benedictine IL (313)      0  0.097
 4 10/21 Coe (312)                 1    Wartburg (297)            0  0.100
 5  11/5 Mitchell (315)            3 at Elms (313)                2  0.114
 6 10/14 Utica (312)               1    Hamilton (297)            0  0.131
 7   9/6 Frank & Marsh (312)       1    Allegheny (300)           0  0.132
 8 10/14 Juniata (312)             2    Frostburg St (304)        1  0.138
 9 10/17 Muhlenberg (295)          2 at Johns Hopkins (214)       0  0.146
10  9/24 Fontbonne (313)           2 at N Central IL (309)        1  0.147

Retro Prediction Percentage: 86.60


Games: 3511 Average Score: 3.09 0.47 Home Team: 1781-1321 57.415 Home Score: 2.04 1.54 Higher Win Percentage: 6195-2690 69.724 Larger Margin of Victory: 6650-2875 69.816 Max Margin: 1 9/12 Milwaukee Eng (312) 18 Rockford (316) 0 2 10/25 N Central IL (309) 16 at Rockford (316) 0 3 10/17 Hardin-Simmons (190) 15 McMurry (315) 0 Max Total: 1 9/12 Milwaukee Eng (312) 18 Rockford (316) 0 2 10/25 N Central IL (309) 16 at Rockford (316) 0 3 10/17 Hardin-Simmons (190) 15 McMurry (315) 0 Min Total: 1 11/15 Keene St (300) 0 at Brandeis (298) 0 2 11/15 Ithaca (259) 0 at Hobart (239) 0 3 11/14 PSU-Behrend (304) 0 at PSU-Altoona (306) 0

Others

    Homefield Advantage:     0.35 Goals
    Standard Deviation:      1.85 Goals


Least Likely Results


 1  9/17 St Catharine (314)        3 at Midway (314)              2  0.737
 2  10/1 Univ of Southwest (313)   2 at Texas Col (314)           0  0.787
 3  9/29 Cincinnati Chr (313)      2    St Catharine (314)        0  0.820
 4 10/24 Midway (314)              5    Mountain St (315)         3  0.892
 5 10/19 Thomas GA (309)           4    Truett-McConnell (313)    0  0.899
 6 10/10 Cincinnati Chr (313)      4 at Mountain St (315)         0  0.920
 7  11/4 Midway (314)              3    Mountain St (315)         2  0.934
 8 10/15 Southeastern FL (312)     1    FL Memorial (313)         0  0.938
 9 10/10 Our Lady Lakes (309)      2 at Univ of Southwest (313)   1  0.954
10  11/5 Our Lady Lakes (309)      2    Univ of Southwest (313)   0  0.959

Retro Prediction Percentage: 100.00


Games: 21 Average Score: 3.76 0.62 Home Team: 12-8 60.000 Home Score: 2.43 1.95 Higher Win Percentage: 6195-2690 69.724 Larger Margin of Victory: 6650-2875 69.816 Max Margin: 1 9/24 Southeastern FL (312) 9 at J&W FL (316) 0 2 10/9 FL Memorial (313) 8 J&W FL (316) 0 3 9/30 Southeastern FL (312) 6 at Ave Marie (315) 0 Max Total: 1 9/24 Southeastern FL (312) 9 at J&W FL (316) 0 2 10/24 Midway (314) 5 Mountain St (315) 3 3 10/9 FL Memorial (313) 8 J&W FL (316) 0 Min Total: 1 10/31 Cincinnati Chr (313) 1 Midway (314) 0 2 10/15 Southeastern FL (312) 1 FL Memorial (313) 0 3 11/5 Our Lady Lakes (309) 2 Univ of Southwest (313) 0

NAIA

    Homefield Advantage:     0.35 Goals
    Standard Deviation:      1.85 Goals


Least Likely Results


 1  8/28 Bacone (314)              2 at John Brown (304)          1  0.005
 2 10/28 Wm Woods (313)            1 at Park (307)                0  0.071
 3  9/15 Brewton-Parker (312)      2 at Faulkner (304)            1  0.079
 4   9/9 Ashford (307)             1 at Trinity Chr (266)         0  0.097
 5   9/5 Calumet-St Jos (315)      2    Waldorf (313)             1  0.104
 6 10/30 St Thomas FL (309)        1    Northwood FL (268)        0  0.121
 7  9/15 Ursuline (311)            1 at Mt Vernon Naz (303)       0  0.136
 8 11/11 Grandview (307)           1 at St Ambrose (268)          0  0.148
 9   9/9 Bluefield VA (314)        2    WV Tech (311)             1  0.149
10 10/27 Cent Methodist (309)      2 at Lindenwood (304)          0  0.150

Retro Prediction Percentage: 86.63


Games: 1393 Average Score: 3.13 0.52 Home Team: 698-526 57.026 Home Score: 2.16 1.54 Higher Win Percentage: 6195-2690 69.724 Larger Margin of Victory: 6650-2875 69.816 Max Margin: 1 10/3 Park (307) 19 Harris-Stowe (316) 0 2 8/31 Rogers St (307) 18 Bacone (314) 0 3 11/6 Park (307) 14 Harris-Stowe (316) 0 Max Total: 1 10/3 Park (307) 19 Harris-Stowe (316) 0 2 8/31 Rogers St (307) 18 Bacone (314) 0 3 11/6 Park (307) 14 Harris-Stowe (316) 0 Min Total: 1 11/14 Lee TN ( 97) 0 vs Auburn M'gomery (250) 0 2 11/13 Milligan (308) 0 vs Bryan (310) 0 3 10/23 Auburn M'gomery (250) 0 at Brenau (304) 0

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Contact, Sat Mar 20 09:13:21 2010