Massey Ratings

Appalachian League


Key & Description | Summary | 2002 | 2004
| group1 |

Through games of Thursday, August 28, 2003

group1

    Homefield Advantage:    -0.33 Runs
    Standard Deviation:      4.33 Runs
Ch Team W L Rating Power Offense Defense HA Schedule
Martinsville Astros 44241.623( 1)1.14( 2)5.08( 3)0.68( 2)-0.37( 8)0.04( 6)East
Elizabethton Twins 44251.323( 2)1.66( 1)5.39( 2)0.89( 1)-0.39( 9)-0.19(10)West
Pulaski Blue Jays 36290.586( 3)0.03( 6)5.60( 1)-0.96( 9)-0.41(10)0.02( 7)West
Burlington Indians 37310.474( 4)0.40( 3)4.51( 5)0.52( 4)-0.37( 7)-0.02( 8)East
Danville Braves 35300.336( 5)0.04( 5)4.07( 9)0.59( 3)-0.26( 1)0.04( 5)East
Bristol White Sox 3333-0.167( 6)0.09( 4)4.33( 6)0.37( 5)-0.30( 3)-0.08( 9)West
Johnson City Cardinals 2736-0.633( 7)-0.78( 8)4.90( 4)-1.06(10)-0.32( 6)0.16( 2)West
Kingsport Mets 2537-0.765( 8)-0.95(10)4.14( 8)-0.48( 7)-0.28( 2)0.22( 1)West
Princeton Devil Rays 2440-1.206( 9)-0.93( 9)4.32( 7)-0.64( 8)-0.30( 4)0.04( 4)East
Bluefield Orioles 2141-1.571(10)-0.71( 7)3.83(10)0.09( 6)-0.32( 5)0.07( 3)East

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.81818
Off/Rate:    0.76970
Def/Rate:    0.57576
Sched/Rate: -0.68485


Conference Tms W L Rating Power Off Def HA Parity 1
Western Division 5 81 76 0.069 0.01 4.87 -0.25 -0.34 0.7900 2 Eastern Division 5 76 81 -0.069 -0.01 4.36 0.25 -0.32 0.8137

Least Likely Results

 1   8/8 Johnson City Cardinals ( 7)   9 at Elizabethton Twins ( 2)       0  0.323
 2  6/29 Kingsport Mets ( 8)           2    Elizabethton Twins ( 2)       0  0.332
 3  6/28 Johnson City Cardinals ( 7)   5    Elizabethton Twins ( 2)       2  0.339
 4  7/23 Princeton Devil Rays ( 9)     8    Martinsville Astros ( 1)      3  0.340
 5  8/19 Princeton Devil Rays ( 9)     8 at Elizabethton Twins ( 2)       3  0.354
 6  7/20 Princeton Devil Rays ( 9)     5    Elizabethton Twins ( 2)       3  0.355
 7  7/16 Johnson City Cardinals ( 7)   8    Martinsville Astros ( 1)      4  0.375
 8  7/11 Princeton Devil Rays ( 9)    10    Burlington Indians ( 4)       3  0.381
 9  7/17 Bluefield Orioles (10)       11    Elizabethton Twins ( 2)       9  0.388
10   8/8 Kingsport Mets ( 8)          10    Bristol White Sox ( 6)        1  0.391

Retro Prediction Percentage: 61.96

Upset Path:

 10 Bluefield Orioles       11   2 Elizabethton Twins       9
  2 Elizabethton Twins       6   1 Martinsville Astros      0


Games: 326 Average Score: 6.50 2.97 Home Team: 159-167 48.773 Higher Win Percentage: 172-141 54.952 Larger Margin of Victory: 173-147 54.062 Max Margin: 1 7/22 Elizabethton Twins ( 2) 16 Danville Braves ( 5) 1 2 7/25 Martinsville Astros ( 1) 14 Bristol White Sox ( 6) 3 3 7/16 Elizabethton Twins ( 2) 13 at Bluefield Orioles (10) 2 Max Total: 1 8/7 Martinsville Astros ( 1) 21 Pulaski Blue Jays ( 3) 17 2 6/25 Pulaski Blue Jays ( 3) 17 at Bluefield Orioles (10) 12 3 6/20 Martinsville Astros ( 1) 18 Johnson City Cardinals ( 7) 8 Min Total: 1 8/5 Princeton Devil Rays ( 9) 1 Bluefield Orioles (10) 0 2 8/4 Pulaski Blue Jays ( 3) 1 at Bristol White Sox ( 6) 0 3 8/1 Bristol White Sox ( 6) 1 Princeton Devil Rays ( 9) 0

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Kenneth Massey, Thu Jun 2 15:32:20 2005