Massey Ratings

A-League


Key & Description | Predictions | Conferences | Summary | 2003 | 2005
| group0 |

Using games from Saturday, April 17, 2004 to Saturday, September 18, 2004

group0

    Homefield Advantage:     0.39 Goals
    Standard Deviation:      1.55 Goals
Ch Team W L T Rating Power Offense Defense HA Schedule
Montreal Impact 22661.750( 1)1.08( 1)1.01(10)1.19( 1)0.22(14)0.04(10)alg2004
Syracuse Salty Dogs 17961.335( 2)0.70( 2)1.52( 2)0.30( 3)0.11(15)0.25( 3)alg2004
Richmond Kickers 171031.112( 3)0.64( 3)1.47( 3)0.28( 5)0.07(16)0.18( 6)alg2004
1 Rochester Raging Rhinos 161230.711( 4)0.43( 4)1.27( 8)0.28( 6)0.76( 1)0.26( 1)alg2004
-1 Portland Timbers 18830.700( 5)0.37( 5)1.63( 1)-0.14(11)0.25(12)-0.27(16)alg2004
Atlanta Silverbacks 141230.427( 6)0.19( 6)1.36( 6)-0.05( 9)0.43( 7)0.25( 2)alg2004
Vancouver Whitecaps 161060.270( 7)0.18( 7)1.00(11)0.30( 4)0.37( 9)-0.21(15)alg2004
Seattle Sounders 14145-0.064( 8)-0.00(10)1.10( 9)0.01( 7)0.44( 5)-0.17(13)alg2004
Minnesota Thunder 13116-0.077( 9)0.01( 9)0.63(15)0.50( 2)0.69( 2)-0.17(14)alg2004
Virginia Beach Mariners 11143-0.094(10)0.03( 8)1.38( 4)-0.23(12)0.61( 3)0.17( 7)alg2004
Milwaukee Wave United 11124-0.344(11)-0.26(12)1.37( 5)-0.51(13)0.37(10)-0.16(12)alg2004
Charleston Battery 7156-0.420(12)-0.20(11)0.91(12)0.00( 8)0.31(11)0.23( 5)alg2004
Toronto Lynx 10162-0.639(13)-0.38(13)1.28( 7)-0.54(14)0.44( 6)0.08( 8)alg2004
Puerto Rico Islanders 5176-0.921(14)-0.49(14)0.70(14)-0.07(10)0.49( 4)0.25( 4)alg2004
Calgary Mustangs 4156-1.662(15)-0.92(15)0.77(13)-0.58(15)0.41( 8)-0.06(11)alg2004
Edmonton Aviators 3176-2.082(16)-1.38(16)0.47(16)-0.73(16)0.24(13)0.04( 9)alg2004

Ranking Correlations

Power/Rate:  0.98529
Off/Rate:    0.59118
Def/Rate:    0.77353
Sched/Rate:  0.11765



Least Likely Results

 1   7/4 Edmonton Aviators (17)         3 at Vancouver Whitecaps ( 8)       2  0.173
 2  7/22 Edmonton Aviators (17)         1 at Milwaukee Wave United (12)     0  0.238
 3   7/2 Toronto Lynx (14)              1 at Syracuse Salty Dogs ( 2)       0  0.251
 4   6/6 Calgary Mustangs (16)          2 at Seattle Sounders ( 9)          1  0.271
 5  7/31 Puerto Rico Islanders (15)     2 at Virginia Beach Mariners (11)   0  0.280
 6  4/17 Charleston Battery (13)        2 at Richmond Kickers ( 3)          0  0.287
 7  6/18 Calgary Mustangs (16)          3    Vancouver Whitecaps ( 8)       0  0.339
 8  7/24 Seattle Sounders ( 9)          2 at Portland Timbers ( 5)          0  0.361
 9   7/3 Puerto Rico Islanders (15)     2 at Charleston Battery (13)        0  0.371
10   6/6 Atlanta Silverbacks ( 6)       1 at Rochester Raging Rhinos ( 4)   0  0.377

Retro Prediction Percentage: 72.73


Games: 235 Average Score: 1.99 0.59 Home Team: 118-80 59.596 Higher Win Percentage: 111-70 61.326 Larger Margin of Victory: 120-72 62.500 Max Margin: 1 6/10 Portland Timbers ( 5) 6 Edmonton Aviators (17) 0 2 8/19 Portland Timbers ( 5) 5 Puerto Rico Islanders (15) 0 3 7/8 Portland Timbers ( 5) 6 Edmonton Aviators (17) 1 Max Total: 1 8/19 Milwaukee Wave United (12) 6 Edmonton Aviators (17) 2 2 8/13 Syracuse Salty Dogs ( 2) 4 at Toronto Lynx (14) 3 3 8/6 Virginia Beach Mariners (11) 4 at Atlanta Silverbacks ( 6) 3 Min Total: 1 8/28 Toronto Lynx (14) 0 at Atlanta Silverbacks ( 6) 0 2 8/27 Minnesota Thunder (10) 0 at Portland Timbers ( 5) 0 3 8/22 Minnesota Thunder (10) 0 at Calgary Mustangs (16) 0

Massey Ratings 3.0 Copyright ©; Kenneth Massey, Wed Oct 12 05:23:19 2005